YoungJRNY wrote:Since the draft is within 3 weeks (April 26th) and with the FA period still lingering on, I'm going to stick within my teams division and go out on a limb for pre-draft 2012 season predictions.
AFC NORTH:
With the Ravens making very strong push's from 2008-2011 & with Ray Lewis on his last legs (the ultimate team backbone for Baltimore) and now Ray Rice, Ed Reed & Joe Flacco hitting walls with their contract signings (and losing some key depth positions on defense) I feel they will now take a slight step back from an AFC Conference Title run in '11 to being in the WC hunt at best in '12 (only if it is for one season, ala Steelers in 2009.) The Steelers & Bengals (with Cincy having a solid off-season thus far) will contend for the North as they are both rebuilding quietly & nicely, as the Steelers will lock up their own (looks like Wallace will stay in Pittsburgh) and have a strong April (as always.) Cleveland is still some time away to claw out of the AFC North basement.
As we stand pre-draft/end of FA (looking at opponents only as the official schedule will be coming out maybe next week):
1. Pittsburgh (10-6)
2. Cincinnati (9-7)
3. Baltimore (9-7)
4. Cleveland (5-11)
As for surprise teams around the NFL, I have my eye on the Oakland Raiders & Seattle Seahawks (having Flynn and Jackson compete in camp as starting QB is a nice direction for the franchise as well as re-signing the most hardest working back in football, Marshawn Lynch) to make strong rebounds for 2012.
What do you guys got within your teams division pre-draft?
Is there any other division on the board where each team is represented by 4 outspoken regulars on this thread?
Pitt - Trav; Cinci - FF; Balti - AR; and Cleveland - me. Makes for fun discussions. Of course, it'd be more fun for me if the Browns were worth discussing. But I'll bite anyway:
Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh resoundingly rebuffed critics who charged that they were getting too old with a pretty dominant 12-4 season. But then they went out with a whimper against the Denver Tebroncows. Denver should be sending the Browns some compensatory picks for handing them that victory after the Browns depleted the Steelers by destroying Ben's ankle, knocking Rashard the Muslim out, among others. The Steelers made some key cuts this year, but Ben & Co. will be returning hungry for one last season before some of the mainstays like Polamalu and Harrison are no longer effective. Questions linger about how good guys like Polamalu and Harrison can be on the other half of their careers, but until proven otherwise, the Steelers are the class of the division.
11-5.
Baltimore: Baltimore has lost several key players and has gotten older at several other key positions. If questions lingered about the Steelers' age this past year, then even more serious questions should be asked about Baltimore's advancing age on the defensive side of things. Ray Rice, Torrie Smith, and Anquan Boldin could make the year pretty exciting for Baltimore fans, but that's all contingent on Joe Flaccid proving he's more than a just-barely-mediocre QB in this league. He showed some promise in the playoffs, particularly against the suspect Patriots secondary. But I think he will be under more scrutiny than ever this year because of his impending contract extension, Ed Reed's remarks about Flacco's effectiveness last year, and Flacco's own recent big-mouthed remarks. I get the sense that the Flacco situation is a lot like the Sanchez situation on the merits; the only difference is that Baltimore's coaches and locker room leaders instill way too much discipline to let things spiral out of control on a personal level. But make no mistake: Baltimore does not trust Flacco, and frankly, I wouldn't either. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that this might be a transitional year for these guys. They lost or should have lost to some crappy teams last year. They won't luck out this time around.
8-8.
Cincinnati: As Andy Dalton goes, so will the Bengals. If Dalton can build on a solid rookie year throwing to the stellar AJ Green and get better this year, I really like the Bengals's chances to duplicate their solid 2011 season. They lost some decent role players, so they'll need to draft well. That's not something that's been the Bengals traditional strong suit. But last year's draft was pretty good. And I just love AJ Green.
9-7.
Cleveland: It's now or never for my Brownies as far as getting this version of the rebuild right. Right now, we have 13 picks in the 2012 draft, including the 4th and 22nd pick (from the Falcons for Julio Jones last year). This is year 3.5 of the Holmgren and Heckert regime, and their 3rd draft. The results have been underwhelming so far. The fans are beyond frustrated with Holmgren & Heckert's philosophy of sticking to the draft and not going after free agents or even resigning our own solid players (e.g., Eric Steinbach, Peyton Hillis). Last year, we had one of the most miserable offenses I've ever seen in the NFL. We showed some promise on defense, but we are still missing the elite defensive playmaker ala a Polamalu, a Revis, or an Ed Reed. Maybe Joe Haden or Jabaal Sheard can become that elite playmaker; maybe we'll draft one this year. Whatever the case may be, they absolutely NEED to address the offense this draft. I'm not sold on Heckert's drafting ability based on his tenure here so far, or Holmgren's leadership (just look at the botched trade for the RG3 pick). And I think they are going to regret not making a run at some reasonable free agents to address the unsexier parts of the team, like the much-maligned right side of our OL. Finally, Pat Shurmur will need to get WORLDS better as the head coach. Last year, he had one of the worst seasons I've ever seen from an NFL head coach. In the end, we were a team filled with holes heading into this offseason, and by virtue of letting guys like Peyton Hillis and Eric Steinbach go and not addressing those positions through free agency, we created more holes. For all these reasons, it's hard to see even a spectacular draft translating into a better record or a better product. We Cleveland fans can only hope for a
more watchable product. Adding a couple bona fide playmakers with those first two picks will be a good start. Unfortunately, I'm gonna have to go with
3-13.